EZB8RISK / Market Briefing

Market Briefing: October 04, 2026

### Market Briefing: October 04, 2026

- **Global Overview:** Risk appetite is being pulled between a Saudi security shock after Houthi strike claims near an Aramco facility and a run of constructive domestic data, with China's manufacturing PMI back in expansion and Vietnam posting near double-digit growth, while oil settled lower after Europe agreed to tap diesel reserves.

- **Asia Pacific:** Chinese equities climbed as the official September manufacturing PMI returned to expansion at 50.1, whereas Korean assets declined on a fresh US trade-retaliation threat, and Thai equities fell as flood disruptions forced a multi-day production halt at three plants of a major Japanese automaker's local unit.

- **Europe:** German equities rose on the government's new Ukraine support package including a billion euros in military aid, whereas French assets dropped as the OAT-Bund spread hit fresh multi-year extremes, and Swiss bank stocks slid after lawmakers advanced a capital proposal a major Swiss bank says would add roughly sixteen billion dollars to its parent requirement.

- **North America:** Canadian equities climbed on a major business tax incentive lowering investment costs, while US equities held near record territory as Fed commentary signaled no urgency for the next rate move, though a US retaliation threat toward South Korea added fresh trade-policy uncertainty.

- **Asset Classes:** Energy assets declined as the Saudi facility strike claims collided with oil settling lower on the European diesel-reserve decision, gold and safe-haven demand stayed supported by Middle East tensions and Iran's rial hitting record lows, and sovereign bond spreads in France and Italy widened while UK gilts stabilized after the Bank of England kept its countercyclical capital buffer unchanged.

Sources

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